2023 weather outlook predicted to be mild

After a couple years of turbulent weather, farmers may be able to breathe a sigh of relief due to the mild 2023 weather outlook.

Meteorologist John Baranick predicts mild weather patterns for 2023.
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FARGO, N.D. — After a volatile couple of years with disruptive weather patterns, farmers and ranchers may find themselves breathing a sigh of relief when it comes to the weather of 2023.

Meteorologist John Baranick was one of the keynote speakers at the North Dakota Grain Dealers Convention, discussing the weather outlook for 2023.

A man smiling in plaid.
Meterologist John Baranick
Contributed by John Baranick

“One of the big things here is La Nina … we’re finally going to get rid of it. So, we’re headed into some neutral positions in the Pacific Ocean right now,” Baranick said. “We may be headed towards an El Nino, by the time we get into the late summer … we’re heading towards what looks to be a normal summer.”

The University of Minnesota recently released results of 2022 variety trials.

When the sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean along the equator between South America and Australia are colder than normal, that is considered a La Nina. When those temperatures are warmer than normal, it's El Nino. Those temperatures near the equator have a large impact on what goes on in terms of weather across the world, he explained.

The region has had its fair share of drought conditions over the past couple of years, but according to Baranick, the snowfall in the area has been offering a decent snow pack.


However, Baranick fears that the excess snowfall and moisture may set farmers back again this year when it comes time to plant their crops.

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StormTRACKER meteorologist John Wheeler said bitter cold is retreating from the northern Plains faster than anticipated. But little in the way of snow or other precipitation is expected for region.

“Really it is going to come down to how quickly we can melt off that snow pack," he said. "If we do it too quickly, all at once, that’s no good for anybody. And like last year, when it was really delayed, we didn’t get rid of it until May, even June we were still dealing with some wetness — especially across the Red River Valley. We could have some issues there with planting,” he said.

In the summer months, Baranick predicts regular thunderstorm patterns developing across Montana and the Canadian prairies, then they will move eastward. He worries that this pattern will cause some areas to get hit frequently, while others will get missed.

Emily grew up on a small grains and goat farm in southern Ohio. After graduating from The Ohio State University, she moved to Fargo, North Dakota to pursue a career in ag journalism with Agweek. She enjoys reporting on livestock and local agricultural businesses.
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Cold — and possibly arctic — air will return. However, StormTRACKER meteorologist John Wheeler doesn't think brutal cold will be widespread. He also doesn't expect big storms in the next two weeks.
StormTRACKER meteorologist John Wheeler said cold weather will be returning to the region, and a changing pattern could move storms back into the Midwest toward the end of January.