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Weather Talk: This fall the warmest on record

A shift into a colder weather pattern these final two weeks of November will certainly keep this fall season from being the warmest on record. Had the much-above average temperatures continued through the end of November, the warmest autumn recor...

John Wheeler

A shift into a colder weather pattern these final two weeks of November will certainly keep this fall season from being the warmest on record. Had the much-above average temperatures continued through the end of November, the warmest autumn record set in 1963 would have been in jeopardy. Even with colder weather moving in, this will still likely finish as one of the top ten warmest autumns on record (back to 1881). The present turn toward more typical late-November weather should not be taken as a sign that the mild winter forecast is now off. El Nino is an influence on the winter weather pattern but it is not the only influence. The forecast of a mild winter is based, in a large part, on the strong El Nino presence recurring throughout the winter. Even so, we must expect a winter season with the usual winter elements; just not so persistently as in many winters.    

 

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